While the world looks quite different than it usually does at this time of year, Mother Nature will persist, and we may not be getting the break we want. Colorado State University (CSU) hurricane researchers released their annual hurricane season forecast
on April 2, and they’re predicting an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season in 2020, with the average being based on the seasons from 1981 to 2010.
They stated that sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are somewhat above normal and anticipate “an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean.”
The CSU researchers predict 16 named storms during the season. Of those, they expect eight to become hurricanes and four to become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5).
Landfall probabilities include a 69 percent chance for the entire U.S. coastline; 45 percent for the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida peninsula; 44 percent for the Gulf Coast from the Florida panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas; and 58 percent for the Caribbean.
Hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross at ABC affiliate WPLG
mentions that since 1995, we have seen more storms on average and this prediction is close to the average tropical development over the past 15 years.